DEL (German hockey league) · Thursday, 8 October, 20:30 MSK · Eissporthalle

Frankfurt Lowen — Krefeld Pinguine

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Model prediction and result

2:5Came true

Frankfurt Lowen26%

Draw in regulation20%

Krefeld Pinguine54%

Model estimate at 19:12 MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Krefeld Pinguine to win (67% incl. overtime), came true.

Krefeld Pinguine are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

Krefeld Pinguine are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — Krefeld Pinguine		2.4–3.3
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)		33%
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)		67%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		46%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Frankfurt Lowen
Frankfurt Lowen goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Frankfurt Lowen

04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
27.09away · Munchen4:1
25.09Nurnberg Ice Tigers1:2
20.09away · Kolner3:4 OT

Krefeld Pinguine

04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
27.09Schwenninger5:2
25.09away · Adler Mannheim1:4
20.09away · Straubing Tigers6:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Grizzly Wolfsburg	8	3	1	2	2	26–27	-1	13
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Krefeld Pinguine	8	4	0	0	4	24–20	+4	12
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Kolner	8	3	1	1	3	32–34	-2	12
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Frankfurt Lowen	8	2	1	1	4	19–18	+1	9
11	ERC Ingolstadt	8	2	1	1	4	21–28	-7	9

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

15:00
ERC IngolstadtFrankfurt Lowen11 October · DEL
7228
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 118%Final score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
15:00
Krefeld PinguineAugsburger Panther11 October · DEL
7525
1The most likely outcome did not happen: 117%Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:2.6.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →