DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Yayla-Arena
Krefeld Pinguine — Augsburger Panther
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Krefeld Pinguine to win (75% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 75% fails in about 25 matches out of 100 on average.
Krefeld Pinguine are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- Krefeld Pinguine are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Augsburger Panther | 3.8–2.3 | |
| Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Krefeld Pinguine
- Krefeld Pinguine goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
- 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
- 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
- 27.09Schwenninger5:2
- 25.09away · Adler Mannheim1:4
- 09.10Bremerhaven3:0
- 04.10away · Munchen2:4
- 02.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:2
- 27.09Kolner4:6
- 24.09away · Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 8 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
Next matches
- Grizzly WolfsburgKrefeld Pinguine15 October · DEL44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Augsburger PantherAdler Mannheim16 October · DEL37632The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
DEL on the same day
- 72281The most likely outcome did not happen: 118%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%0:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 120%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.9
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →