DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
ERC Ingolstadt are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- ERC Ingolstadt are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Grizzly Wolfsburg — No. 7, 13 pts; ERC Ingolstadt — No. 11, 9 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Grizzly Wolfsburg 1 win, ERC Ingolstadt 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt | 2.8–3.0 | |
| Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Grizzly Wolfsburg
- Grizzly Wolfsburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3 OT
- 09.10away · Eisbaren Berlin0:5
- 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
- 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
- 27.09Bremerhaven3:2
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt4:1
- 28.12.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Grizzly Wolfsburg2:1 SO
- 21.11.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt2:4
- 19.09.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2
- 21.02.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — ERC Ingolstadt3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
DEL on the same day
- Adler MannheimFrankfurt Lowenpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Eisbaren BerlinAugsburger Pantherpreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:26.1
- MunchenIserlohn Roosterspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Nurnberg Ice TigersKrefeld Pinguinepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- SchwenningerBremerhavenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Straubing TigersKolnerpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →