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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

HC Yugra — Buran Voronezh

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Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
HC Yugra65%
Draw in regulation19%
Buran Voronezh15%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, HC Yugra to win (79% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 79% fails in about 21 matches out of 100 on average.

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.4.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: HC Yugra 4 wins, Buran Voronezh 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: HC Yugra — Buran Voronezh2.8–1.4
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)79%
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)21%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)27%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)73%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap HC Yugra
  • HC Yugra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

HC Yugra

  • 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
  • 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
  • 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
  • 19.09away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:4

Buran Voronezh

  • 11.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
  • 09.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
  • 07.10away · Omskie Krylia1:0
  • 01.10Dyn. Altay4:2
  • 29.09Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1 SO

Head to head

  • 12.02.2026HC Yugra — Buran Voronezh3:2
  • 13.10.2025Buran Voronezh — HC Yugra2:4
  • 11.12.2024Buran Voronezh — HC Yugra2:3 SO
  • 01.12.2024HC Yugra — Buran Voronezh2:3 OT
  • 17.01.2024Buran Voronezh — HC Yugra1:6

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk16120446–31+1524
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsAKM1593347–34+1321
20Dinamo St. Petersburg1461739–46-713
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212
22Dizel1352629–31-212

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • HC YugraTambov15 October · VHL
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.3
  • DizelBuran Voronezh21 October · VHL · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3

VHL on the same day

  • Dyn. AltayOlympia
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:1.4.4
  • KrasnoyarskToros Neftekamsk
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
  • Metallurg NovokuznetskIzhevsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 118%Final score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
  • Omskie KryliaKristall Saratov
    1The most likely outcome came true: 120%Final score 7:1. Model's score: 3:1.5.1
  • KurganDizel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
  • Rubin TyumenTambov
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →