PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

HV 71 — Frolunda

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 24 October

HV 7129%
Draw in regulation22%
Frolunda49%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Frolunda are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: HV 71 — No. 12, 8 pts; Frolunda — No. 2, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: HV 71 0 wins, Frolunda 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: HV 71 — Frolunda2.2–2.8
HV 71 to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap HV 71
  • HV 71 goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

HV 71

  • 10.10Brynas3:2
  • 08.10away · Rogle3:4
  • 03.10away · Farjestad1:3
  • 01.10Orebro2:1 OT
  • 29.09away · IF Bjorkloven2:4

Frolunda

  • 10.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 08.10away · Timra1:4
  • 03.10Djurgarden4:2
  • 01.10Brynas2:1
  • 26.09away · Malmo2:1

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026HV 71 — Frolunda1:5
  • 18.12.2025Frolunda — HV 713:2 SO
  • 23.10.2025Frolunda — HV 712:1
  • 27.09.2025HV 71 — Frolunda1:2
  • 20.02.2025HV 71 — Frolunda1:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFarjestad8701034–8+2622
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • IF BjorklovenSkellefteapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
  • LinkopingOrebropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • MalmoTimrapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • BrynasRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
  • FarjestadVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
  • LuleaDjurgardenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →