SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Winpos Arena
IF Bjorkloven — Frolunda
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Frolunda to win (59% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.
Frolunda are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Frolunda | 2.2–2.6 | |
| IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap IF Bjorkloven
- IF Bjorkloven goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 08.10away · Brynas1:4
- 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
- 01.10Vaxjo4:2
- 29.09HV 714:2
- 26.09Farjestad0:5
- 08.10away · Timra1:4
- 03.10Djurgarden4:2
- 01.10Brynas2:1
- 26.09away · Malmo2:1
- 24.09away · Lulea7:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Farjestad | 8 | 7 | +26 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
Next matches
- IF BjorklovenRogle15 October · SHL44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- LinkopingFrolunda15 October · SHL38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
SHL on the same day
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 3:1.5.2
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.5
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →