Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
KalPa — Pelicans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
KalPa are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- KalPa are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: KalPa — Pelicans | 2.5–2.1 | |
| KalPa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Pelicans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap KalPa
- KalPa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 09.09.2026Pelicans — KalPa2:0
- 10.02.2026KalPa — Pelicans5:3
- 16.01.2026Pelicans — KalPa1:3
- 03.01.2026KalPa — Pelicans2:1
- 03.10.2025Pelicans — KalPa0:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | TPS Turku | 11 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Pelicans | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | KalPa | 11 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
Liiga on the same day
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 79211The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.0
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.9
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →