Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Karpat — KooKoo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Karpat 51%, KooKoo 49% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karpat — KooKoo | 3.0–2.9 | |
| Karpat to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Karpat
- Karpat goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Jukurit1:2 OT
- 09.10away · Pelicans3:2 OT
- 07.10Kiekko-Espoo8:7 OT
- 03.10away · Hameenlinna1:2 OT
- 02.10away · Kiekko-Espoo3:1
- 10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
- 09.10Jukurit4:1
- 03.10Pelicans3:6
- 30.09away · Tappara0:3
- 26.09Jukurit3:5
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Karpat — KooKoo4:3 SO
- 18.02.2026KooKoo — Karpat4:3
- 28.11.2025KooKoo — Karpat4:5 SO
- 26.09.2025Karpat — KooKoo3:6
- 19.02.2025Karpat — KooKoo2:1
Table
Liiga on the same day
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 79211The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.0
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →