PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK

Krasnoyarsk — Izhevsk

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

3:2Came true
Krasnoyarsk41%
Draw in regulation23%
Izhevsk36%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Krasnoyarsk to win (52% incl. overtime), came true.

Close to a coin flip: Krasnoyarsk 52%, Izhevsk 48% including overtime.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.2.

Facts

  • Krasnoyarsk: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Krasnoyarsk 3 wins, Izhevsk 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krasnoyarsk — Izhevsk2.3–2.2
Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Krasnoyarsk
  • Krasnoyarsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Krasnoyarsk

  • 09.10Olympia3:4
  • 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 01.10away · Dizel0:2
  • 29.09away · Tambov4:5
  • 27.09away · Buran Voronezh3:4

Izhevsk

  • 08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 03.10Kaluga1:3
  • 01.10AKM4:3 OT
  • 29.09Ryazan3:2 SO
  • 20.09away · Bars3:4

Head to head

  • 19.01.2026Izhevsk — Krasnoyarsk2:3
  • 01.11.2025Krasnoyarsk — Izhevsk3:0
  • 14.01.2025Izhevsk — Krasnoyarsk3:2 SO
  • 08.11.2024Krasnoyarsk — Izhevsk4:3 SO
  • 06.02.2024Krasnoyarsk — Izhevsk1:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
27CSK VVS16411131–56-259
28Izhevsk1332829–40-118
29Krasnoyarsk14401023–36-138
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk1132620–44-248

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • KrasnoyarskToros Neftekamsk13 October · VHL
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
  • Metallurg NovokuznetskIzhevsk13 October · VHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 118%Final score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.8

VHL on the same day

  • Metallurg NovokuznetskOlympia
    1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 2:0. Model's score: 4:1.4.8
  • Omskie KryliaDizel
    1The most likely outcome came true: 124%Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:1.4.2
  • KurganTambov
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%Final score 0:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.6
  • Rubin TyumenBuran Voronezh
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →