DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Krefeld Pinguine — Eisbaren Berlin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Krefeld Pinguine 51%, Eisbaren Berlin 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Krefeld Pinguine — No. 8, 12 pts; Eisbaren Berlin — No. 1, 20 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Eisbaren Berlin: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Eisbaren Berlin | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Krefeld Pinguine
- Krefeld Pinguine goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Augsburger Panther1:2
- 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
- 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
- 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
- 27.09Schwenninger5:2
- 11.10away · Bremerhaven3:0
- 09.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:0
- 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
- 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
- 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 8 | 6 | +19 | 20 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
DEL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.4
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:26.3
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →