AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Providence Bruins

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Model prediction for 1 November

Lehigh Valley Phantoms31%
Draw in regulation21%
Providence Bruins48%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Providence Bruins are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Providence Bruins2.4–2.9
Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
  • 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
  • 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
  • 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0

Providence Bruins

  • 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:6
  • 11.10Charlotte Checkers6:2
  • 10.10Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
  • 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
  • 03.10Utica Comets1:2

Head to head

  • 19.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Providence Bruins6:3
  • 26.02.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Providence Bruins4:6
  • 11.01.2026Providence Bruins — Lehigh Valley Phantoms4:2
  • 22.11.2025Providence Bruins — Lehigh Valley Phantoms3:2
  • 23.03.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Providence Bruins1:3

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
29Syracuse Crunch41036–16-102.250
30Providence Bruins51049–14-52.200
31Lehigh Valley Phantoms30128–15-71.167
32Chicago Wolves40045–22-170.000

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →