Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Lida — Mogilev

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Model prediction and result

6:0Came true
Lida62%
Draw in regulation18%
Mogilev20%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 6:0: the model's most likely outcome, Lida to win (73% incl. overtime), came true.

Lida are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.

Why

  • Lida are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Lida 3 wins, Mogilev 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lida — Mogilev3.8–2.4
Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)63%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)37%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Lida
  • Lida goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Lida

  • 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO
  • 27.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha5:4
  • 24.09Novopolotsk4:0
  • 22.09Novopolotsk5:1
  • 17.09away · Brest3:6

Mogilev

  • 30.09Vitebsk0:2
  • 28.09Vitebsk4:3
  • 23.09away · Soligorsk1:4
  • 21.09away · Soligorsk0:3
  • 18.09Yunost Minsk5:3

Head to head

  • 30.11.2025Mogilev — Lida2:5
  • 28.11.2025Mogilev — Lida3:2
  • 13.09.2025Lida — Mogilev4:3
  • 11.09.2025Lida — Mogilev5:2
  • 07.12.2024Mogilev — Lida2:1

Next match

  • LidaMogilev6 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 5:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.9

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.0
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.6
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%Final score 1:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →