Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 4 October, MSK
Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:1Came true
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Neman Grodno to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.
Neman Grodno are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk | 2.7–1.9 | |
| Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 29.09away · Brest2:4
- 27.09away · Brest1:3
- 24.09Molodechno0:1
- 22.09Molodechno0:1
- 17.09Zhlobin2:3 OT
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk4:0
- 15.01.2026Neman Grodno — Novopolotsk6:1
- 13.10.2025Novopolotsk — Neman Grodno3:7
- 11.10.2025Novopolotsk — Neman Grodno4:3
- 01.12.2024Novopolotsk — Neman Grodno1:3
Next match
- Neman GrodnoNovopolotsk6 October · Belarus Extraleague66341The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.5
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 37632The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.0
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 118%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%1:2OTFinal score 1:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →