Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 4 October, MSK
Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:4Came true
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Zhlobin to win (63% incl. overtime), came true.
Zhlobin are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Zhlobin are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.
- Yunost Minsk: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin | 2.2–2.8 | |
| Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Zhlobin to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Yunost Minsk
- Yunost Minsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10Zhlobin1:4
- 30.09away · Baranavichy0:5
- 28.09away · Baranavichy2:5
- 23.09Slavutych1:4
- 21.09Slavutych3:5
- 03.10away · Yunost Minsk4:1
- 29.09away · Molodechno0:3
- 27.09away · Molodechno4:1
- 23.09away · Baranavichy1:2
- 21.09away · Baranavichy3:2 SO
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin1:4
- 08.04.2026Zhlobin — Yunost Minsk2:1
- 06.04.2026Yunost Minsk — Zhlobin3:4 OT
- 04.04.2026Zhlobin — Yunost Minsk4:2
- 02.04.2026Zhlobin — Yunost Minsk1:0
Next matches
- Yunost MinskSoligorsk10 October · Belarus Extraleague35652The most likely outcome came true: 222%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
- BrestZhlobin10 October · Belarus Extraleague45552The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.0
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.6
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 118%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%1:2OTFinal score 1:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →