Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 4 October, MSK
Molodechno — Brest
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1:2 OTMissed
In short
Final score 1:2 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Molodechno to win (67% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 67% fails in about 33 matches out of 100 on average.
Molodechno are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Molodechno are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Molodechno — Brest | 2.8–1.9 | |
| Molodechno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Brest to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Molodechno
- Molodechno goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 29.09Zhlobin3:0
- 27.09Zhlobin1:4
- 24.09away · Neman Grodno1:0
- 22.09away · Neman Grodno1:0
- 17.09Gomel3:4 SO
Head to head
- 24.12.2025Molodechno — Brest2:1
- 22.12.2025Molodechno — Brest6:1
- 19.09.2025Brest — Molodechno2:4
- 17.09.2025Brest — Molodechno1:2
- 01.02.2025Molodechno — Brest1:2 OT
Next match
- MolodechnoBrest6 October · Belarus Extraleague64361The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 3:1.4.4
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 37632The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.0
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.6
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 118%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →