NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction and result

1:4Came true
Los Angeles Kings38%
Draw in regulation23%
Edmonton Oilers39%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Edmonton Oilers to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.

Close to a coin flip: Los Angeles Kings 49%, Edmonton Oilers 51% including overtime.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.9.

Facts

  • Los Angeles Kings: 5 defeats in a row; Edmonton Oilers: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Kings 2 wins, Edmonton Oilers 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Los Angeles Kings — Edmonton Oilers2.8–2.9
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

Los Angeles Kings

  • 11.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2 OT
  • 07.10Florida Panthers1:2
  • 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
  • 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8
  • 26.04Colorado Avalanche1:5

Edmonton Oilers

  • 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
  • 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
  • 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
  • 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
  • 30.09Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Los Angeles Kings — Edmonton Oilers1:0
  • 27.02.2026Los Angeles Kings — Edmonton Oilers1:8
  • 11.01.2026Edmonton Oilers — Los Angeles Kings3:4 SO
  • 02.05.2025Edmonton Oilers — Los Angeles Kings6:4
  • 30.04.2025Los Angeles Kings — Edmonton Oilers1:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →