KHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Magnitogorsk are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Magnitogorsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 25 pts; Salavat Ufa — No. 12, 17 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Magnitogorsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Magnitogorsk 4 wins, Salavat Ufa 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Magnitogorsk 9, Salavat Ufa 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa | 3.0–2.2 | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitogorsk
- Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
- 14.10Novosibirsk2:4
- 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
- 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
- 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
- 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa7:1
- 23.09.2026Salavat Ufa — Magnitogorsk3:4
- 11.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Magnitogorsk1:2 OT
- 13.02.2026Salavat Ufa — Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
- 16.10.2025Magnitogorsk — Salavat Ufa6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 15 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- Bars KazanNizhny Novgorodpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CherepovetsShanghaipreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →