KHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Vladivostok — Barys Astana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vladivostok are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- Vladivostok are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vladivostok — Barys Astana | 2.7–2.4 | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Barys Astana to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vladivostok
- Vladivostok goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Lada4:3 OT
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO
- 12.10Novosibirsk2:3
- 10.10Avangard Omsk5:1
- 04.10away · Spartak Moscow4:3 SO
- 02.10away · Niznekamsk5:4 OT
- 30.09away · Bars Kazan1:4
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Barys Astana — Vladivostok2:6
- 13.03.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana6:2
- 12.03.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana1:2
- 04.02.2026Vladivostok — Barys Astana1:4
- 28.01.2026Barys Astana — Vladivostok2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- MagnitogorskSalavat Ufapreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Bars KazanNizhny Novgorodpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CherepovetsShanghaipreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →