KHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bars Kazan are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Bars Kazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod | 2.5–2.2 | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars Kazan
- Bars Kazan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 30.09Barys Astana4:1
- 12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
Head to head
- 14.09.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan3:2
- 21.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan3:2 SO
- 12.02.2026Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod4:3 OT
- 11.02.2025Bars Kazan — Nizhny Novgorod1:5
- 07.09.2024Nizhny Novgorod — Bars Kazan2:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- MagnitogorskSalavat Ufapreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- CherepovetsShanghaipreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscowpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →