KHL · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Spartak Moscow 49%, CSKA Moscow 51% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow | 2.3–2.3 | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| CSKA Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 02.10Magnitogorsk0:2
- 30.09Tractor Chelyabinsk2:4
- 09.10away · Dynamo Moscow5:2
- 05.10Salavat Ufa3:1
- 03.10Dynamo Moscow4:3 SO
- 01.10away · Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 29.09SKA St. Petersburg6:5
Head to head
- 07.09.2026CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow2:3
- 18.03.2026Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow2:3 SO
- 12.02.2026Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow0:2
- 11.01.2026CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow2:1
- 28.12.2025CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 14 | 11 | +15 | 22 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokBarys Astanapreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- MagnitogorskSalavat Ufapreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
- Bars KazanNizhny Novgorodpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- CherepovetsShanghaipreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →