NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Montreal Canadiens — Buffalo Sabres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Montreal Canadiens 51%, Buffalo Sabres 49% including overtime.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Montreal Canadiens — No. 18, 7 pts; Buffalo Sabres — No. 19, 7 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 3 wins, Buffalo Sabres 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Buffalo Sabres | 2.9–2.8 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
- 14.10away · Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
- 12.10Florida Panthers5:3
- 11.10Utah Mammoth1:4
- 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
- 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT
Head to head
- 14.10.2026Montreal Canadiens — Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 19.05.2026Buffalo Sabres — Montreal Canadiens2:3 OT
- 17.05.2026Montreal Canadiens — Buffalo Sabres3:8
- 15.05.2026Buffalo Sabres — Montreal Canadiens3:6
- 13.05.2026Montreal Canadiens — Buffalo Sabres2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 34662The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:44.9
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →