NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues

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Model prediction for 18 October

Nashville Predators36%
Draw in regulation24%
St. Louis Blues40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Nashville Predators 47%, St. Louis Blues 53% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Nashville Predators — No. 22, 6 pts; St. Louis Blues — No. 16, 7 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nashville Predators 3 wins, St. Louis Blues 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues2.6–2.7
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 14.10Vegas Golden Knights2:5
  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1

St. Louis Blues

  • 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
  • 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
  • 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6

Head to head

  • 03.02.2026Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues6:5
  • 28.12.2025St. Louis Blues — Nashville Predators3:2
  • 16.12.2025St. Louis Blues — Nashville Predators2:5
  • 12.12.2025Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues7:2
  • 28.03.2025Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues2:3

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
16St. Louis Blues631221–18+37
17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs731324–23+17
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16
22Nashville Predators622216–19-36
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →