NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights

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Model prediction and result

2:5Missed
Nashville Predators40%
Draw in regulation23%
Vegas Golden Knights37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Nashville Predators to win (51% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Close to a coin flip: Nashville Predators 51%, Vegas Golden Knights 49% including overtime.

5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.9.
  • Vegas Golden Knights: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Nashville Predators 2 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights3.0–2.9
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
  • 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3

Vegas Golden Knights

  • 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
  • 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
  • 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
  • 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
  • 05.10away · Vancouver Canucks3:2

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights4:1
  • 18.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Nashville Predators7:2
  • 31.12.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Nashville Predators2:4
  • 13.04.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Nashville Predators5:3
  • 30.03.2025Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights1:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16
22Nashville Predators622216–19-36
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →