Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights
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In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Nashville Predators to win (51% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Nashville Predators 51%, Vegas Golden Knights 49% including overtime.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.9.
- Vegas Golden Knights: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Nashville Predators 2 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights | 3.0–2.9 | |
| Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nashville Predators
- Nashville Predators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
- 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
- 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
- 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
- 05.10away · Vancouver Canucks3:2
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights4:1
- 18.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Nashville Predators7:2
- 31.12.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Nashville Predators2:4
- 13.04.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Nashville Predators5:3
- 30.03.2025Nashville Predators — Vegas Golden Knights1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
Next matches
- Nashville PredatorsSan Jose Sharks16 October · NHL58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Vegas Golden KnightsCalgary Flames16 October · NHL68321The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.4
NHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →