NHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · UBS Arena
New York Islanders — Chicago Blackhawks
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4:1Came true
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, New York Islanders to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.
New York Islanders are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- New York Islanders are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Islanders — Chicago Blackhawks | 3.0–2.2 | |
| New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Islanders
- New York Islanders goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
- 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0
- 01.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs1:2
- 15.04Carolina Hurricanes1:2
- 13.04Montreal Canadiens1:4
- 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
- 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
- 02.10away · Utah Mammoth0:6
- 30.09away · Vegas Golden Knights2:5
- 16.04San Jose Sharks5:2
Head to head
- 25.03.2026New York Islanders — Chicago Blackhawks3:4
- 31.12.2025Chicago Blackhawks — New York Islanders2:3 SO
- 15.12.2024Chicago Blackhawks — New York Islanders5:3
- 13.12.2024New York Islanders — Chicago Blackhawks5:4
- 03.04.2024New York Islanders — Chicago Blackhawks2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
- Chicago BlackhawksCarolina Hurricanes11 October · NHL29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
- New York IslandersTampa Bay Lightning11 October · NHL47532The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 71291The most likely outcome came true: 120%7:2Final score 7:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →