KHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Nizhny Novgorod are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow | 2.4–2.2 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Dynamo Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
- 11.10SKA St. Petersburg4:3 OT
- 09.10CSKA Moscow2:5
- 07.10Shanghai2:3
- 03.10away · CSKA Moscow3:4 SO
- 01.10Nizhny Novgorod1:3
Head to head
- 01.10.2026Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod1:3
- 15.02.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow2:4
- 12.01.2026Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod3:4 OT
- 01.12.2025Dynamo Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod4:0
- 05.10.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Dynamo Moscow1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →