KHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Shanghai — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Bars Kazan are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Bars Kazan are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shanghai — Bars Kazan | 2.2–2.7 | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Shanghai
- Shanghai goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 30.09Barys Astana4:1
Head to head
- 30.11.2025Bars Kazan — Shanghai4:1
- 23.11.2025Shanghai — Bars Kazan2:3 SO
- 02.02.2025Shanghai — Bars Kazan3:6
- 13.11.2024Bars Kazan — Shanghai5:0
- 23.11.2023Shanghai — Bars Kazan1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →