KHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Avangard Omsk — Yekaterinburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Avangard Omsk are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Avangard Omsk — No. 19, 12 pts; Yekaterinburg — No. 15, 14 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Avangard Omsk 2 wins, Yekaterinburg 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Avangard Omsk 6, Yekaterinburg 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Yekaterinburg | 2.5–2.1 | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Yekaterinburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Avangard Omsk
- Avangard Omsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
- 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
- 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
- 02.10Lada4:1
- 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5
- 06.10Avangard Omsk4:0
- 04.10Khabarovsk0:3
- 02.10Khabarovsk3:0
- 30.09Lada3:1
- 26.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 06.10.2026Yekaterinburg — Avangard Omsk4:0
- 15.09.2026Avangard Omsk — Yekaterinburg3:2 OT
- 24.02.2026Yekaterinburg — Avangard Omsk5:1
- 05.02.2026Avangard Omsk — Yekaterinburg2:3 OT
- 22.01.2026Yekaterinburg — Avangard Omsk1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
KHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →