KHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Niznekamsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Niznekamsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.4–2.6 | |
| Niznekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Niznekamsk
- Niznekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Salavat Ufa3:4
- 08.10Avangard Omsk0:1
- 04.10Novosibirsk3:2
- 02.10Barys Astana4:5 OT
- 29.09away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 10.03.2026Niznekamsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:1 OT
- 05.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Niznekamsk3:4
- 19.09.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Niznekamsk3:2
- 09.09.2025Niznekamsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:4
- 23.02.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Niznekamsk1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →