DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Grizzly Wolfsburg

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Model prediction for 30 October

Nurnberg Ice Tigers45%
Draw in regulation21%
Grizzly Wolfsburg34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nurnberg Ice Tigers are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Nurnberg Ice Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Nurnberg Ice Tigers — No. 3, 16 pts; Grizzly Wolfsburg — No. 7, 13 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Nurnberg Ice Tigers: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nurnberg Ice Tigers 4 wins, Grizzly Wolfsburg 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Grizzly Wolfsburg3.0–2.6
Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Nurnberg Ice Tigers

  • 11.10away · Kolner2:4
  • 09.10Adler Mannheim2:5
  • 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
  • 02.10Schwenninger5:0
  • 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 11.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3 OT
  • 09.10away · Eisbaren Berlin0:5
  • 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
  • 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
  • 27.09Bremerhaven3:2

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — Nurnberg Ice Tigers1:4
  • 04.01.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Grizzly Wolfsburg4:2
  • 07.12.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Grizzly Wolfsburg4:2
  • 14.09.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:3
  • 14.02.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Grizzly Wolfsburg2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →