VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Perm — Omskie Krylia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Perm 51%, Omskie Krylia 49% including overtime.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Perm — No. 11, 16 pts; Omskie Krylia — No. 3, 20 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Omskie Krylia: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Perm 1 win, Omskie Krylia 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Perm — Omskie Krylia | 2.3–2.2 | |
| Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Perm
- Perm goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
- 11.10Dizel3:2
- 09.10Tambov5:1
- 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3
Head to head
- 24.12.2025Perm — Omskie Krylia1:4
- 21.11.2025Omskie Krylia — Perm4:0
- 04.03.2025Perm — Omskie Krylia2:6
- 18.09.2024Omskie Krylia — Perm3:1
- 13.12.2023Omskie Krylia — Perm1:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 14 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 11, Playoffs | Perm | 12 | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 12, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
VHL on the same day
- Dinamo St. PetersburgAKMpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- Zvezda MoscowKalugapreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.7
- Toros NeftekamskKurganpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- IzhevskRubin Tyumenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- OlympiaHC Yugrapreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:33.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →