NHL · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:4Came true
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.
Carolina Hurricanes are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.5.
- Philadelphia Flyers: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row; Carolina Hurricanes: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 0 wins, Carolina Hurricanes 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes | 2.5–3.3 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
- 04.10Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 02.10away · New Jersey Devils2:3 OT
- 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
- 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4
- 04.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
- 03.10Washington Capitals2:5
Head to head
- 04.10.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 10.05.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 08.05.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 05.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
- 03.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Philadelphia Flyers3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
Next matches
- Carolina HurricanesWashington Capitals14 October · NHL59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- Philadelphia FlyersSeattle Kraken14 October · NHL51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
NHL on the same day
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 121%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →