NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Pittsburgh Penguins — Florida Panthers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.4 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — Florida Panthers | 3.4–2.7 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pittsburgh Penguins
- Pittsburgh Penguins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10Montreal Canadiens6:5 OT
- 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
- 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
- 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
- 02.10away · San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Florida Panthers5:2
- 05.04.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Florida Panthers9:4
- 24.10.2025Florida Panthers — Pittsburgh Penguins3:5
- 24.03.2025Florida Panthers — Pittsburgh Penguins4:3 SO
- 04.01.2025Florida Panthers — Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 18 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Florida Panthers | 6 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Ottawa SenatorsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- St. Louis BluesVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →