NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minnesota Wild are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild | 2.4–3.0 | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Calgary Flames
- Calgary Flames goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
- 02.10Seattle Kraken1:6
- 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
- 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
- 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
- 04.10Boston Bruins4:1
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Minnesota Wild — Calgary Flames4:1
- 05.12.2025Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild4:1
- 10.11.2025Minnesota Wild — Calgary Flames2:0
- 12.04.2025Calgary Flames — Minnesota Wild4:2
- 26.01.2025Minnesota Wild — Calgary Flames4:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 6 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 6 | 4 | +9 | 8 |
| 31 | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 | 0 | -20 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 5 | 0 | -19 | 0 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Ottawa SenatorsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Pittsburgh PenguinsFlorida Pantherspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- St. Louis BluesVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →