AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK
San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: San Jose Barracuda 52%, Bakersfield Condors 48% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 65%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.2 and 3.1.
Facts
- League table: San Jose Barracuda — No. 28, 2 pts; Bakersfield Condors — No. 20, 4 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Barracuda 3 wins, Bakersfield Condors 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors | 3.2–3.1 | |
| San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Bakersfield Condors to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 65% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Barracuda
- San Jose Barracuda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Tucson Roadrunners1:4
- 10.10Tucson Roadrunners4:7
- 05.10San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
- 04.10San Diego Gulls1:5
- 25.04away · Henderson Silver Knights1:5
- 11.10away · Calgary Wranglers5:4
- 10.10away · Calgary Wranglers1:2
- 05.10away · Henderson Silver Knights3:1
- 04.10away · Henderson Silver Knights3:4
- 27.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds2:6
Head to head
- 19.04.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT
- 18.04.2026Bakersfield Condors — San Jose Barracuda5:2
- 25.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors5:3
- 11.01.2026San Jose Barracuda — Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT
- 04.01.2026Bakersfield Condors — San Jose Barracuda2:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
AHL on the same day
- Chicago WolvesGrand Rapids Griffinspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Iowa WildCharlotte Checkerspreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Hershey BearsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- Rockford IceHogsTexas Starspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
- San Diego GullsColorado Eaglespreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →