NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · SAP Center
San Jose Sharks — Edmonton Oilers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:3Came true
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Edmonton Oilers to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.
Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 68%.
Why
- Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.9.
Facts
- Edmonton Oilers: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 1 win, Edmonton Oilers 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Edmonton Oilers | 2.9–3.5 | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 68% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 32% |
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- San Jose Sharks goals
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Form
- 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
- 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
- 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
- 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT
- 17.04away · Winnipeg Jets6:1
- 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 30.09Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
- 01.05away · Anaheim Ducks2:5
Head to head
- 09.04.2026San Jose Sharks — Edmonton Oilers2:5
- 18.03.2026Edmonton Oilers — San Jose Sharks5:3
- 01.03.2026San Jose Sharks — Edmonton Oilers5:4
- 30.01.2026Edmonton Oilers — San Jose Sharks4:3 OT
- 17.04.2025San Jose Sharks — Edmonton Oilers0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
Next matches
- Los Angeles KingsEdmonton Oilers14 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.7
- San Jose SharksBoston Bruins14 October · NHL40602The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 2:5.5.7
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.3
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →