NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · SAP Center
San Jose Sharks — Los Angeles Kings
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5:4 OTMissed
In short
Final score 5:4 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Los Angeles Kings to win (55% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.
Los Angeles Kings are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Los Angeles Kings are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Los Angeles Kings | 2.8–3.0 | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT
- 17.04away · Winnipeg Jets6:1
- 16.04away · Chicago Blackhawks2:5
- 14.04away · Nashville Predators3:2
- 12.04Vancouver Canucks3:4 SO
- 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8
- 26.04Colorado Avalanche1:5
- 24.04Colorado Avalanche2:4
- 22.04away · Colorado Avalanche1:2 OT
- 19.04away · Colorado Avalanche1:2
Head to head
- 08.01.2026Los Angeles Kings — San Jose Sharks3:4 OT
- 21.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Los Angeles Kings4:3 SO
- 29.10.2025San Jose Sharks — Los Angeles Kings3:4
- 31.03.2025Los Angeles Kings — San Jose Sharks8:1
- 26.11.2024San Jose Sharks — Los Angeles Kings7:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
Next matches
- Dallas StarsSan Jose Sharks6 October · NHL67331The most likely outcome came true: 121%5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- Los Angeles KingsFlorida Panthers7 October · NHL52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →