NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators

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Model prediction for 31 October

San Jose Sharks28%
Draw in regulation22%
Ottawa Senators50%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ottawa Senators are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2.5–3.1
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 14.10Boston Bruins3:6
  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT

Ottawa Senators

  • 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
  • 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
  • 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
  • 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
  • 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5

Head to head

  • 16.03.2026Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks7:4
  • 23.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2:3
  • 02.03.2025Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks5:3
  • 28.11.2024San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators3:4
  • 10.03.2024San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →