DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Straubing Tigers — Kolner

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Model prediction for 23 October

Straubing Tigers47%
Draw in regulation21%
Kolner33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Straubing Tigers are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • Straubing Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Straubing Tigers — No. 5, 14 pts; Kolner — No. 9, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Straubing Tigers 1 win, Kolner 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Straubing Tigers — Kolner3.2–2.8
Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

Straubing Tigers

  • 11.10away · Adler Mannheim1:2
  • 09.10Iserlohn Roosters11:4
  • 04.10away · Schwenninger4:2
  • 02.10Bremerhaven4:3
  • 27.09away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:2 SO

Kolner

  • 11.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
  • 09.10Schwenninger1:4
  • 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
  • 02.10Munchen2:4
  • 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Straubing Tigers — Kolner3:6
  • 02.01.2026Kolner — Straubing Tigers4:2
  • 28.11.2025Straubing Tigers — Kolner0:2
  • 19.10.2025Kolner — Straubing Tigers7:4
  • 14.02.2025Straubing Tigers — Kolner4:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →