NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Vancouver Canucks — Detroit Red Wings
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Vancouver Canucks — No. 28, 4 pts; Detroit Red Wings — No. 27, 4 pts.
- Vancouver Canucks: 5 defeats in a row; Detroit Red Wings: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vancouver Canucks 2 wins, Detroit Red Wings 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Detroit Red Wings | 2.6–3.0 | |
| Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vancouver Canucks
- Vancouver Canucks goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · New York Islanders2:3
- 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
- 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
- 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
- 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
Head to head
- 09.01.2026Detroit Red Wings — Vancouver Canucks5:1
- 09.12.2025Vancouver Canucks — Detroit Red Wings0:4
- 03.02.2025Vancouver Canucks — Detroit Red Wings2:3 OT
- 01.12.2024Detroit Red Wings — Vancouver Canucks4:5 OT
- 16.02.2024Vancouver Canucks — Detroit Red Wings4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Ottawa SenatorsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Pittsburgh PenguinsFlorida Pantherspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.2
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- St. Louis BluesVegas Golden Knightspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →