NHL · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild

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Model prediction for 26 October

Vancouver Canucks33%
Draw in regulation22%
Minnesota Wild44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: Vancouver Canucks — No. 28, 4 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 9, 9 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Vancouver Canucks: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Vancouver Canucks 2 wins, Minnesota Wild 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild2.8–3.2
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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Form

Vancouver Canucks

  • 14.10away · New York Islanders2:3
  • 12.10away · New York Rangers2:6
  • 10.10away · New Jersey Devils1:4
  • 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3

Minnesota Wild

  • 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
  • 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
  • 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Minnesota Wild — Vancouver Canucks5:2
  • 07.12.2025Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild4:2
  • 02.11.2025Minnesota Wild — Vancouver Canucks5:2
  • 13.04.2025Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild2:3 OT
  • 08.03.2025Vancouver Canucks — Minnesota Wild3:1

Full record: 22 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →