NHL · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Vegas Golden Knights to win (71% incl. overtime), came true.
Vegas Golden Knights are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.3.
- Vancouver Canucks: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Vancouver Canucks 0 wins, Vegas Golden Knights 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.3–3.5 | |
| Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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Form
- 04.10Calgary Flames4:1
- 02.10Edmonton Oilers7:9
- 30.09away · Edmonton Oilers6:5 OT
- 17.04away · Edmonton Oilers1:6
- 15.04Los Angeles Kings4:3 OT
- 03.10Anaheim Ducks3:4
- 30.09Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 15.06Carolina Hurricanes0:3
- 12.06away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 10.06Carolina Hurricanes3:5
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights1:2
- 31.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Vancouver Canucks4:2
- 05.02.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Vancouver Canucks5:2
- 17.04.2025Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 07.04.2025Vancouver Canucks — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
Next matches
- Seattle KrakenVegas Golden Knights7 October · NHL42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- Carolina HurricanesVancouver Canucks9 October · NHL71291The most likely outcome came true: 120%7:2Final score 7:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
NHL on the same day
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.6
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →