NHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights — Anaheim Ducks
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3:4Missed
In short
Final score 3:4: the model's most likely outcome, Vegas Golden Knights to win (67% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 67% fails in about 33 matches out of 100 on average.
Vegas Golden Knights are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Anaheim Ducks | 3.5–2.5 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.09Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 15.06Carolina Hurricanes0:3
- 12.06away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 10.06Carolina Hurricanes3:5
- 07.06Carolina Hurricanes5:4 OT
- 15.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
- 13.05away · Vegas Golden Knights2:3 OT
- 11.05Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 09.05Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 07.05away · Vegas Golden Knights3:1
Head to head
- 15.05.2026Anaheim Ducks — Vegas Golden Knights1:5
- 13.05.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Anaheim Ducks3:2 OT
- 11.05.2026Anaheim Ducks — Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 09.05.2026Anaheim Ducks — Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 07.05.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Anaheim Ducks1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
Next matches
- Anaheim DucksFlorida Panthers5 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
- Vancouver CanucksVegas Golden Knights5 October · NHL29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:4OTFinal score 3:4 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →