NHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:5Missed
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (60% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.
Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals | 3.1–2.6 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Carolina Hurricanes
- Carolina Hurricanes goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 30.09Florida Panthers0:1 OT
- 15.06away · Vegas Golden Knights3:0
- 12.06Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 10.06away · Vegas Golden Knights5:3
- 07.06away · Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
- 15.04away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:1
- 12.04Pittsburgh Penguins3:0
- 11.04away · Pittsburgh Penguins6:3
- 09.04away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:0
- 06.04away · New York Rangers1:8
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Washington Capitals — Carolina Hurricanes4:3 OT
- 12.12.2025Washington Capitals — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 SO
- 12.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals1:4
- 16.05.2025Washington Capitals — Carolina Hurricanes1:3
- 13.05.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 7 | 5 | +10 | 11 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Washington Capitals | 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 17 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Next matches
- Philadelphia FlyersCarolina Hurricanes4 October · NHL48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- Tampa Bay LightningWashington Capitals4 October · NHL65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:4OTFinal score 3:4 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →