NHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets — Boston Bruins
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3:4 OTMissed
In short
Final score 3:4 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Winnipeg Jets to win (54% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.
Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Boston Bruins | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.04San Jose Sharks1:6
- 15.04away · Utah Mammoth3:5
- 14.04away · Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 12.04Philadelphia Flyers1:7
- 10.04away · St. Louis Blues3:2
- 30.09New York Rangers3:0
- 02.05Buffalo Sabres1:4
- 29.04away · Buffalo Sabres2:1 OT
- 26.04Buffalo Sabres1:6
- 24.04Buffalo Sabres1:3
Head to head
- 20.03.2026Boston Bruins — Winnipeg Jets6:1
- 12.12.2025Winnipeg Jets — Boston Bruins3:6
- 31.01.2025Boston Bruins — Winnipeg Jets2:6
- 11.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Boston Bruins8:1
- 23.01.2024Boston Bruins — Winnipeg Jets4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 5 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
Next matches
- Minnesota WildBoston Bruins4 October · NHL65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- Detroit Red WingsWinnipeg Jets4 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:3, exactly right.5.4
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →