NHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings — New York Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Detroit Red Wings to win (58% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.
Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.
- New York Rangers: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 1 win, New York Rangers 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — New York Rangers | 3.1–2.7 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Detroit Red Wings
- Detroit Red Wings goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.04away · Florida Panthers1:8
- 14.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT
- 12.04New Jersey Devils3:5
- 10.04Philadelphia Flyers6:3
- 08.04Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 SO
- 02.10Tampa Bay Lightning5:1
- 30.09away · Boston Bruins0:3
- 16.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning4:2
- 14.04away · Florida Panthers2:3
- 12.04away · Dallas Stars0:2
Head to head
- 04.04.2026New York Rangers — Detroit Red Wings4:1
- 17.11.2025New York Rangers — Detroit Red Wings1:2
- 08.11.2025Detroit Red Wings — New York Rangers1:4
- 10.11.2024Detroit Red Wings — New York Rangers0:4
- 18.10.2024Detroit Red Wings — New York Rangers2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
Next matches
- Detroit Red WingsWinnipeg Jets4 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:3, exactly right.5.4
- New York RangersUtah Mammoth5 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.6
NHL on the same day
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:4OTFinal score 3:4 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →