NHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars — St. Louis Blues
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0:4Missed
In short
Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Dallas Stars to win (61% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 61% fails in about 39 matches out of 100 on average.
Dallas Stars are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dallas Stars — St. Louis Blues | 3.1–2.5 | |
| Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dallas Stars
- Dallas Stars goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.05away · Minnesota Wild2:5
- 29.04Minnesota Wild2:4
- 26.04away · Minnesota Wild2:3 OT
- 23.04away · Minnesota Wild4:3 OT
- 21.04Minnesota Wild4:2
- 17.04away · Utah Mammoth5:3
- 15.04Pittsburgh Penguins7:5
- 14.04Minnesota Wild6:3
- 12.04away · Chicago Blackhawks5:3
- 10.04Winnipeg Jets2:3
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Dallas Stars — St. Louis Blues5:4
- 28.01.2026St. Louis Blues — Dallas Stars3:4
- 24.01.2026Dallas Stars — St. Louis Blues3:2
- 19.10.2025St. Louis Blues — Dallas Stars3:1
- 03.03.2025Dallas Stars — St. Louis Blues6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
Next matches
- Nashville PredatorsDallas Stars4 October · NHL47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- Colorado AvalancheSt. Louis Blues4 October · NHL73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 54461The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%3:4OTFinal score 3:4 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →