NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Washington Capitals 52%, Buffalo Sabres 48% including overtime.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres | 2.9–2.8 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 14.10away · Montreal Canadiens3:4 SO
- 12.10Florida Panthers5:3
- 11.10Utah Mammoth1:4
- 09.10Dallas Stars0:4
- 07.10Minnesota Wild3:2 OT
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres6:2
- 13.03.2026Buffalo Sabres — Washington Capitals1:2
- 02.11.2025Buffalo Sabres — Washington Capitals4:3 SO
- 30.03.2025Washington Capitals — Buffalo Sabres5:8
- 07.01.2025Buffalo Sabres — Washington Capitals4:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Columbus Blue JacketsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- Edmonton OilersToronto Maple Leafspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Ottawa SenatorsNew York Rangerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Pittsburgh PenguinsNashville Predatorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- St. Louis BluesCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Utah MammothTampa Bay Lightningpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Calgary FlamesDetroit Red Wingspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →