Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Borges N. — Djokovic N.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Borges N.12%
Djokovic N.88%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (88%), came true.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 88% against 12% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Borges N. 1659, Djokovic N. 2004.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Borges N. games
  • Djokovic N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Borges N.

No past matches in the data yet.

Djokovic N.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Bu Y.Djokovic N.2 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Borges N.Diaz Acosta F.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 88% will not happen in roughly 12 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →