Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Borges N. — Diaz Acosta F.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Borges N.70%
Diaz Acosta F.30%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Borges N. to win (70%), came true.

Borges N. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Borges N. 1626, Diaz Acosta F. 1492.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Borges N. games
  • Diaz Acosta F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Borges N.

  • 30.09Djokovic N.0:2

Diaz Acosta F.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Lehecka J.Borges N.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →