Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Bu Y. — Djokovic N.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Bu Y.7%
Djokovic N.93%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Djokovic N. to win (93%), came true.

Djokovic N. are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bu Y. 1541, Djokovic N. 1981.

Probabilities

Games over 20.546%
Games under 20.554%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bu Y. games
  • Djokovic N. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Bu Y.

  • 30.09Cerundolo J. M.2:1
  • 27.09Safiullin R.0:2
  • 26.09Majchrzak K.2:1
  • 24.09Zheng M.2:0

Djokovic N.

  • 30.09Borges N.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zverev A.Djokovic N.4 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • van Assche L.Bu Y.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →